The two charts above illustrate the difference between a basic oscillator and a derivative function that that smooths the vicissitudes of the basic oscillator. The derivative oscillator also illustrates a persistence in a trend once the trend changes.
In my previous posts I have noted whenever I put on a position. My current positions reflect a net short position in the market averages with the following derivative ETF's:
Long BGZ @ 17.97
Short BGU @ 57.9
Long DXD @ 30.04
Short DDM @ 43.40
Short DIA @ 102.63
The question is where and when do I cover and take my profits? The top chart with a derivative function looks like it may be changing direction, however, it remains in negative territory. Today is Option Expiration Friday so anything can happen this afternoon. I have decided to close out my positions and will report my prices in my next post. It is 1:13 PM 11/20/09.
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